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Simple Linear Regression - Prediction

One use of a least squares regression equation is the prediction of Y for a given X. Prediction is often used when direct measurement or observation of Y is expensive or impossible, while X is readily and cheaply observed. Given an appropriate least squares equation, the predicted Y* for a given X* is

Yhat* = bhat0 + bhat1 X*

and the variance of the prediction is

The predictive ability of a least squares regression equation thus depends upon how well the original equation fits the data, sy.x, how large the sample used to fit was, n, and how far the given X* is from xbar relative to the Xs used in fitting the equation.


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